November 11, 2011
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Paul Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 125 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Mike Pierce's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mike Pierce for the expected result. Had Paul Bradley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Paul Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 065 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Paul Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 181 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +5 | -5 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Mike Pierce receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Paul Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 75 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 144 | 145 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 133 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 202 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Mike Pierce dominated the striking exchanges with 133 vs 69 total strikes, 75 vs 63 significant strikes, 52.1% vs 43.4% accuracy. Mike Pierce capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Paul Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:36 | 1:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 304 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Mike Pierce controlled Paul Bradley on the ground with 0:36 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Paul Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 141 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -14 |
Mike Pierce demonstrated solid activity levels with 99 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mike Pierce capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Bradley's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Paul Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 081 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -16 |
Mike Pierce started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Bradley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Paul Bradley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 065 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

