October 8, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 159 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +44 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (13 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 098 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:31 | 0:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 293 | 1 340 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +123 |
Rousimar Palhares locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:31 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 304 | 892 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 331 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 95 | 299 |
| Activity ELO | 1 246 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Rousimar Palhares demonstrated standard activity with 299 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Rousimar Palhares capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Pierce's 95-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 128 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +28 |
Rousimar Palhares started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Pierce is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Rousimar Palhares |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 097 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.