December 13, 2012
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 184 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Mike Pierce's 5-fight experience advantage (11 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mike Pierce for the expected result. Had Seth Baczynski pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 109 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 328 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Mike Pierce earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 48 | 106 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 94 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 323 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Seth Baczynski controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (94 vs 51 total strikes), significant strike advantage (34 vs 16). However, since Seth Baczynski lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mike Pierce's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:04 | 0:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 393 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Mike Pierce dominated Seth Baczynski on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 10:04 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 71 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 264 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -17 |
Mike Pierce demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 71 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Mike Pierce capitalized on this activity level, while Seth Baczynski's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 136 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Mike Pierce extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Seth Baczynski is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mike Pierce | Seth Baczynski |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 108 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.