March 2, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mike Pyle | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 017 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +59 |
Zak Ottow overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mike Pyle.
| Metric | Mike Pyle | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mike Pyle | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:34 | 2:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 080 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +131 |
Zak Ottow earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:34, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Mike Pyle | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 757 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -97 | +97 |
Zak Ottow controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 4 total strikes, 22 vs 4 significant strikes, 44.0% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Zak Ottow capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mike Pyle | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 940 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Zak Ottow landed 1 knockdown followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Mike Pyle | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 428 | 98 |
| Activity ELO | 1 106 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +69 |
Zak Ottow demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Zak Ottow capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Pyle's 428-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Pyle | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Zak Ottow started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Pyle is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mike Pyle | Zak Ottow |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.