September 17, 2021
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mike Rodriguez | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 929 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +38 |
Tafon Nchukwi overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mike Rodriguez.
| Metric | Mike Rodriguez | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 944 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mike Rodriguez | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 992 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Tafon Nchukwi earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mike Rodriguez | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 116 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 144 | 199 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 145 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 960 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Tafon Nchukwi dominated the striking exchanges with 145 vs 59 total strikes, 116 vs 49 significant strikes, 58.3% vs 34.0% accuracy. Tafon Nchukwi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mike Rodriguez | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 4:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 749 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Tafon Nchukwi controlled Mike Rodriguez on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 4:45 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Rodriguez | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 224 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 962 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +40 |
Tafon Nchukwi demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tafon Nchukwi capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Rodriguez's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mike Rodriguez | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 951 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Tafon Nchukwi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mike Rodriguez | Tafon Nchukwi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 944 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.