Mike Stumpf vs TJ Waldburger

TJ Waldburger's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding TJ Waldburger for the expected result. Had Mike Stumpf pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

TJ Waldburger earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

TJ Waldburger slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 57.1% vs 0.0% accuracy. TJ Waldburger capitalized on this striking dominance.

TJ Waldburger dominated Mike Stumpf on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:16 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

TJ Waldburger demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, TJ Waldburger capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Stumpf's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

TJ Waldburger started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Stumpf is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.