Mike Swick vs Paulo Thiago

February 5, 2010

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1175
(-44)
Mike Swick
Winner: Paulo Thiago
Submission
Round 2 • 1:54

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mike Swick-44
Paulo Thiago+60
1148
(+60)
Paulo Thiago

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: -36Paulo Thiago: +55

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickPaulo Thiago
Total UFC Fights124
Experience Gap8-8
Experience ELO1 1421 186
ELO Change-36+55
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What Happened

Paulo Thiago overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mike Swick.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: -26Paulo Thiago: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickPaulo Thiago
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0971 060
ELO Change-26+26
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: -62Paulo Thiago: +96

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickPaulo Thiago
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:541:54
Win Type ELO1 2831 259
ELO Change-62+96
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What Happened

Paulo Thiago earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:54, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Mike Swick was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: -83Paulo Thiago: +83

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickPaulo Thiago
Significant Strikes Landed79
Significant Strikes Attempted6125
Total Strikes Landed2011
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 2761 258
ELO Change-83+83
💡

What Happened

Paulo Thiago controlled the striking exchanges with 36.0% vs 11.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Paulo Thiago capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: -60Paulo Thiago: +60

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickPaulo Thiago
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:300:15
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1541 118
ELO Change-60+60
💡

What Happened

Paulo Thiago edged out Mike Swick on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:15 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: -31Paulo Thiago: +93

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickPaulo Thiago
Days Since Last Fight8477
Activity ELO1 2141 160
ELO Change-31+93
💡

What Happened

Paulo Thiago demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Paulo Thiago capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Swick's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: -28Paulo Thiago: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickPaulo Thiago
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 1411 079
ELO Change-28+34
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What Happened

Paulo Thiago extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Swick is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: -26Paulo Thiago: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickPaulo Thiago
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0951 060
ELO Change-26+26
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.