Mike Swick vs Steve Vigneault

March 3, 2006

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1111
(+25)
Mike Swick
Winner: Mike Swick
Submission
Round 1 • 2:09

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mike Swick+25
Steve Vigneault-22
978
(-22)
Steve Vigneault

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: +27Steve Vigneault: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickSteve Vigneault
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 075973
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

Mike Swick's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mike Swick for the expected result. Had Steve Vigneault pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: +19Steve Vigneault: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickSteve Vigneault
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 058981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: +36Steve Vigneault: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickSteve Vigneault
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:092:09
Win Type ELO1 232979
ELO Change+36-21
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What Happened

Mike Swick earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: +19Steve Vigneault: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickSteve Vigneault
Significant Strikes Landed136
Significant Strikes Attempted2213
Total Strikes Landed138
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 213981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

Mike Swick slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 13 vs 6 significant strikes, 59.1% vs 46.2% accuracy. Mike Swick capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: +37Steve Vigneault: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickSteve Vigneault
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:490:13
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 098963
ELO Change+37-37
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What Happened

Mike Swick edged out Steve Vigneault on the ground with 0:49 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: +21Steve Vigneault: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickSteve Vigneault
Days Since Last Fight211N/A
Activity ELO1 088983
ELO Change+21-17
💡

What Happened

Mike Swick demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mike Swick capitalized on this activity level, while Steve Vigneault's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: +24Steve Vigneault: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickSteve Vigneault
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 069982
ELO Change+24-18
💡

What Happened

Mike Swick extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steve Vigneault is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mike Swick: +19Steve Vigneault: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMike SwickSteve Vigneault
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 058981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.