June 12, 2009
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Mostapha Al-Turk |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 037 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Mirko Filipovic's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mirko Filipovic for the expected result. Had Mostapha Al-Turk pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Mostapha Al-Turk |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Mostapha Al-Turk |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:06 | 3:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 115 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -35 |
Mirko Filipovic earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Mostapha Al-Turk |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 079 | 844 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -92 |
Mirko Filipovic controlled the striking exchanges with 16 vs 7 significant strikes, 45.7% vs 28.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mirko Filipovic capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Mostapha Al-Turk |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 022 | 893 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Mostapha Al-Turk |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 644 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 008 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -21 |
Mirko Filipovic demonstrated extended layoff with 644 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Mirko Filipovic capitalized on this activity level, while Mostapha Al-Turk's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Mostapha Al-Turk |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Mirko Filipovic started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mostapha Al-Turk is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Mostapha Al-Turk |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

