Mirko Filipovic vs Mostapha Al-Turk

June 12, 2009

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1035
(+42)
Mirko Filipovic
Winner: Mirko Filipovic
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 3:06

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mirko Filipovic+42
Mostapha Al-Turk-36
935
(-36)
Mostapha Al-Turk

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mirko Filipovic: +28Mostapha Al-Turk: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricMirko FilipovicMostapha Al-Turk
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 037945
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

Mirko Filipovic's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mirko Filipovic for the expected result. Had Mostapha Al-Turk pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mirko Filipovic: +21Mostapha Al-Turk: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMirko FilipovicMostapha Al-Turk
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 005961
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mirko Filipovic: +75Mostapha Al-Turk: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricMirko FilipovicMostapha Al-Turk
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:063:06
Win Type ELO1 115944
ELO Change+75-35
💡

What Happened

Mirko Filipovic earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mirko Filipovic: +92Mostapha Al-Turk: -92

Performance Statistics

MetricMirko FilipovicMostapha Al-Turk
Significant Strikes Landed167
Significant Strikes Attempted3525
Total Strikes Landed187
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 079844
ELO Change+92-92
💡

What Happened

Mirko Filipovic controlled the striking exchanges with 16 vs 7 significant strikes, 45.7% vs 28.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mirko Filipovic capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mirko Filipovic: +56Mostapha Al-Turk: -56

Performance Statistics

MetricMirko FilipovicMostapha Al-Turk
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted12
Ground Control Time0:150:05
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 022893
ELO Change+56-56
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mirko Filipovic: +19Mostapha Al-Turk: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMirko FilipovicMostapha Al-Turk
Days Since Last Fight644168
Activity ELO1 008966
ELO Change+19-21
💡

What Happened

Mirko Filipovic demonstrated extended layoff with 644 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Mirko Filipovic capitalized on this activity level, while Mostapha Al-Turk's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mirko Filipovic: +23Mostapha Al-Turk: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMirko FilipovicMostapha Al-Turk
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 011962
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Mirko Filipovic started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mostapha Al-Turk is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mirko Filipovic: +21Mostapha Al-Turk: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMirko FilipovicMostapha Al-Turk
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 005961
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.