June 11, 2010
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 069 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Mirko Filipovic's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mirko Filipovic for the expected result. Had Pat Barry pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 027 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:30 | 4:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 174 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -49 |
Mirko Filipovic earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:30, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Pat Barry was submitted.
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 100 | 66 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 168 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -101 |
Mirko Filipovic dominated the striking exchanges with 113 vs 26 total strikes, 42 vs 25 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mirko Filipovic capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:27 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 159 | 897 |
| ELO Change | +105 | -105 |
Mirko Filipovic dominated Pat Barry on the ground with 4:27 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 079 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -22 |
Mirko Filipovic demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mirko Filipovic capitalized on this activity level, while Pat Barry's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 039 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Mirko Filipovic extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pat Barry is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mirko Filipovic | Pat Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 027 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

