December 9, 2016
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 130 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -39 |
Misha Cirkunov overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nikita Krylov.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 083 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:38 | 4:38 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 285 | 1 327 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -65 |
Misha Cirkunov earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 188 | 1 296 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Nikita Krylov controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (16 vs 8), superior accuracy (55.2% vs 44.4%). However, since Nikita Krylov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Misha Cirkunov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:40 | 1:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 307 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Misha Cirkunov controlled Nikita Krylov on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 0:40 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 138 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -27 |
Misha Cirkunov demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Misha Cirkunov capitalized on this activity level, while Nikita Krylov's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 105 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -24 |
Misha Cirkunov extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nikita Krylov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 083 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

