October 26, 2018
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 120 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -31 |
Misha Cirkunov overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Patrick Cummins.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:40 | 2:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 265 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -37 |
Misha Cirkunov earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 119 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Misha Cirkunov dominated the striking exchanges with 65 vs 6 total strikes, 11 vs 3 significant strikes. Misha Cirkunov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:39 | 1:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 276 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -92 |
Misha Cirkunov dominated Patrick Cummins on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:39 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 315 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 125 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Misha Cirkunov demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Misha Cirkunov capitalized on this activity level, while Patrick Cummins's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 085 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Misha Cirkunov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Patrick Cummins is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Patrick Cummins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.