March 12, 2021
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 097 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +36 |
Ryan Spann overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Misha Cirkunov.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:11 | 1:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 240 | 1 338 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +122 |
Ryan Spann earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:11, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 960 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -106 | +106 |
Ryan Spann controlled the striking exchanges with 16 vs 5 significant strikes, 55.2% vs 27.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ryan Spann capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 190 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Ryan Spann landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 547 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 108 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +38 |
Ryan Spann demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ryan Spann capitalized on this activity level, while Misha Cirkunov's 547-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 064 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Ryan Spann started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Misha Cirkunov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.