February 25, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 032 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +49 |
Wellington Turman overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Misha Cirkunov.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:29 | 1:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 162 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +105 |
Wellington Turman earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:29, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Misha Cirkunov was submitted.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 924 | 904 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Misha Cirkunov controlled the striking through superior volume (50 vs 24 total strikes), significant strike advantage (30 vs 15), superior accuracy (68.2% vs 78.9%). However, since Misha Cirkunov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Wellington Turman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:04 | 2:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 100 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Wellington Turman edged out Misha Cirkunov on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:15 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 070 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Wellington Turman demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Wellington Turman capitalized on this activity level, while Misha Cirkunov's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Wellington Turman extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Misha Cirkunov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Misha Cirkunov | Wellington Turman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 996 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.