October 3, 2014
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 095 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Mitch Gagnon's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mitch Gagnon for the expected result. Had Roman Salazar pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:06 | 2:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 200 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -24 |
Mitch Gagnon earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 171 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Mitch Gagnon slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 29.4% vs 50.0% accuracy. Mitch Gagnon capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:57 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 253 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Mitch Gagnon dominated Roman Salazar on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:57 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 171 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 113 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -16 |
Mitch Gagnon demonstrated solid activity levels with 171 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mitch Gagnon capitalized on this activity level, while Roman Salazar's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 080 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -18 |
Mitch Gagnon extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roman Salazar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

