Mitch Gagnon vs Roman Salazar

October 3, 2014

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1129
(+29)
Mitch Gagnon
Winner: Mitch Gagnon
Submission
Round 1 • 2:06

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mitch Gagnon+29
Roman Salazar-25
975
(-25)
Roman Salazar

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +25Roman Salazar: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonRoman Salazar
Total UFC Fights51
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 095975
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Mitch Gagnon's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mitch Gagnon for the expected result. Had Roman Salazar pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +18Roman Salazar: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonRoman Salazar
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 061982
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +42Roman Salazar: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonRoman Salazar
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:062:06
Win Type ELO1 200976
ELO Change+42-24
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What Happened

Mitch Gagnon earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +22Roman Salazar: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonRoman Salazar
Significant Strikes Landed53
Significant Strikes Attempted176
Total Strikes Landed63
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 171978
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

Mitch Gagnon slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 29.4% vs 50.0% accuracy. Mitch Gagnon capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +60Roman Salazar: -60

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonRoman Salazar
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted22
Ground Control Time0:570:00
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 253940
ELO Change+60-60
💡

What Happened

Mitch Gagnon dominated Roman Salazar on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:57 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +28Roman Salazar: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonRoman Salazar
Days Since Last Fight171N/A
Activity ELO1 113984
ELO Change+28-16
💡

What Happened

Mitch Gagnon demonstrated solid activity levels with 171 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mitch Gagnon capitalized on this activity level, while Roman Salazar's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +25Roman Salazar: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonRoman Salazar
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 080982
ELO Change+25-18
💡

What Happened

Mitch Gagnon extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roman Salazar is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +18Roman Salazar: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonRoman Salazar
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 061982
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.