Mitch Gagnon vs Tim Gorman

April 15, 2014

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1100
(+27)
Mitch Gagnon
Winner: Mitch Gagnon
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mitch Gagnon+27
Tim Gorman-25
975
(-25)
Tim Gorman

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +28Tim Gorman: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonTim Gorman
Total UFC Fights41
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 070972
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

Mitch Gagnon's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mitch Gagnon for the expected result. Had Tim Gorman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +20Tim Gorman: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonTim Gorman
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 043980
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +27Tim Gorman: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonTim Gorman
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 158973
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Mitch Gagnon earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +30Tim Gorman: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonTim Gorman
Significant Strikes Landed4715
Significant Strikes Attempted9869
Total Strikes Landed9350
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 149970
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Mitch Gagnon controlled the striking exchanges with 93 vs 50 total strikes, 47 vs 15 significant strikes, 48.0% vs 21.7% accuracy. Mitch Gagnon capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +38Tim Gorman: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonTim Gorman
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted310
Ground Control Time3:086:49
Ground Strikes Landed90
Ground ELO1 193962
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Mitch Gagnon controlled Tim Gorman on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:08 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +22Tim Gorman: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonTim Gorman
Days Since Last Fight207N/A
Activity ELO1 085983
ELO Change+22-17
💡

What Happened

Mitch Gagnon demonstrated standard activity with 207 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mitch Gagnon capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Gorman's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +25Tim Gorman: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonTim Gorman
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 055981
ELO Change+25-19
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What Happened

Mitch Gagnon extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Gorman is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +20Tim Gorman: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonTim Gorman
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 043980
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.