April 15, 2014
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Tim Gorman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 070 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Mitch Gagnon's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mitch Gagnon for the expected result. Had Tim Gorman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Tim Gorman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Tim Gorman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 158 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Mitch Gagnon earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Tim Gorman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 69 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 93 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 149 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Mitch Gagnon controlled the striking exchanges with 93 vs 50 total strikes, 47 vs 15 significant strikes, 48.0% vs 21.7% accuracy. Mitch Gagnon capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Tim Gorman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:08 | 6:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 193 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Mitch Gagnon controlled Tim Gorman on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:08 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Tim Gorman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 207 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 085 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -17 |
Mitch Gagnon demonstrated standard activity with 207 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mitch Gagnon capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Gorman's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Tim Gorman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 055 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -19 |
Mitch Gagnon extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Gorman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Tim Gorman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

