Mitch Gagnon vs Walel Watson

September 21, 2012

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1029
(+59)
Mitch Gagnon
Winner: Mitch Gagnon
Submission
Round 1 • 1:09

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mitch Gagnon+59
Walel Watson-47
931
(-47)
Walel Watson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +34Walel Watson: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonWalel Watson
Total UFC Fights24
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 004926
ELO Change+34-30
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What Happened

Mitch Gagnon overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Walel Watson.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +21Walel Watson: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonWalel Watson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 001956
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +94Walel Watson: -50

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonWalel Watson
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:091:09
Win Type ELO1 060980
ELO Change+94-50
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What Happened

Mitch Gagnon earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +116Walel Watson: -116

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonWalel Watson
Significant Strikes Landed51
Significant Strikes Attempted118
Total Strikes Landed61
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 089917
ELO Change+116-116
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What Happened

Mitch Gagnon controlled the striking exchanges with 45.5% vs 12.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mitch Gagnon capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +94Walel Watson: -94

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonWalel Watson
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:310:00
Ground Strikes Landed40
Ground ELO1 028796
ELO Change+94-94
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What Happened

Mitch Gagnon dominated Walel Watson on the ground with 0:31 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +63Walel Watson: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonWalel Watson
Days Since Last Fight63220
Activity ELO1 043958
ELO Change+63-21
💡

What Happened

Mitch Gagnon demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Mitch Gagnon capitalized on this activity level, while Walel Watson's 220-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +23Walel Watson: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonWalel Watson
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 003958
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Mitch Gagnon started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Walel Watson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Gagnon: +21Walel Watson: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch GagnonWalel Watson
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 001956
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.