September 21, 2012
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -30 |
Mitch Gagnon overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Walel Watson.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:09 | 1:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 060 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -50 |
Mitch Gagnon earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 11 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 089 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +116 | -116 |
Mitch Gagnon controlled the striking exchanges with 45.5% vs 12.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mitch Gagnon capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:31 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 028 | 796 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -94 |
Mitch Gagnon dominated Walel Watson on the ground with 0:31 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 63 | 220 |
| Activity ELO | 1 043 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -21 |
Mitch Gagnon demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Mitch Gagnon capitalized on this activity level, while Walel Watson's 220-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Mitch Gagnon started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Walel Watson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mitch Gagnon | Walel Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

