Mitch Ramirez vs Thiago Moises

March 15, 2024

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

966
(-34)
Mitch Ramirez
Winner: Thiago Moises
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 0:15

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mitch Ramirez-34
Thiago Moises+37
1120
(+37)
Thiago Moises

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Ramirez: -21Thiago Moises: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RamirezThiago Moises
Total UFC Fights112
Experience Gap-1111
Experience ELO9791 143
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Thiago Moises's 11-fight experience advantage (12 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Thiago Moises for the expected result. Had Mitch Ramirez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Ramirez: -19Thiago Moises: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RamirezThiago Moises
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 055
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Ramirez: -21Thiago Moises: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RamirezThiago Moises
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish0:150:15
Win Type ELO9791 229
ELO Change-21+43
💡

What Happened

Thiago Moises gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Ramirez: -113Thiago Moises: +113

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RamirezThiago Moises
Significant Strikes Landed1625
Significant Strikes Attempted4839
Total Strikes Landed2853
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO8871 062
ELO Change-113+113
💡

What Happened

Thiago Moises controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 28 total strikes, 25 vs 16 significant strikes, 64.1% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Thiago Moises capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Ramirez: -49Thiago Moises: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RamirezThiago Moises
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:216:36
Ground Strikes Landed06
Ground ELO9511 187
ELO Change-49+49
💡

What Happened

Thiago Moises landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Ramirez: -13Thiago Moises: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RamirezThiago Moises
Days Since Last FightN/A197
Activity ELO9871 149
ELO Change-13+17
💡

What Happened

Thiago Moises demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Thiago Moises capitalized on this activity level, while Mitch Ramirez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Ramirez: -17Thiago Moises: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RamirezThiago Moises
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9831 082
ELO Change-17+19
💡

What Happened

Thiago Moises started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mitch Ramirez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Ramirez: -19Thiago Moises: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RamirezThiago Moises
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 055
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.