Mitch Raposo vs Sumudaerji

April 12, 2025

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

954
(-25)
Mitch Raposo
Winner: Sumudaerji
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mitch Raposo-25
Sumudaerji+27
1012
(+27)
Sumudaerji

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Raposo: -32Sumudaerji: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RaposoSumudaerji
Total UFC Fights28
Experience Gap-66
Experience ELO9381 000
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Sumudaerji's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sumudaerji for the expected result. Had Mitch Raposo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Raposo: -21Sumudaerji: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RaposoSumudaerji
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO959995
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Raposo: -10Sumudaerji: +10

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RaposoSumudaerji
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9801 026
ELO Change-10+10
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Sumudaerji receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Raposo: -50Sumudaerji: +50

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RaposoSumudaerji
Significant Strikes Landed945
Significant Strikes Attempted26114
Total Strikes Landed1378
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9181 113
ELO Change-50+50
💡

What Happened

Sumudaerji dominated the striking exchanges with 78 vs 13 total strikes, 45 vs 9 significant strikes. Sumudaerji capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Raposo: -29Sumudaerji: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RaposoSumudaerji
Takedowns Landed60
Takedowns Attempted190
Ground Control Time4:180:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO952868
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Sumudaerji did not secure a significant ground advantage against Mitch Raposo on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Raposo: -16Sumudaerji: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RaposoSumudaerji
Days Since Last Fight316175
Activity ELO9641 087
ELO Change-16+29
💡

What Happened

Sumudaerji demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sumudaerji capitalized on this activity level, while Mitch Raposo's 316-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Raposo: -21Sumudaerji: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RaposoSumudaerji
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9591 011
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Sumudaerji started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mitch Raposo is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mitch Raposo: -21Sumudaerji: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMitch RaposoSumudaerji
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO959995
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.