March 1, 2013
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Rani Yahya's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rani Yahya for the expected result. Had Mizuto Hirota pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 964 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Rani Yahya earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 105 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 952 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Rani Yahya dominated the striking exchanges with 105 vs 39 total strikes, 13 vs 4 significant strikes, 44.8% vs 28.6% accuracy. Rani Yahya capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:09 | 8:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 910 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -90 | +90 |
Rani Yahya dominated Mizuto Hirota on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 8:59 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Rani Yahya demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rani Yahya capitalized on this activity level, while Mizuto Hirota's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Rani Yahya extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mizuto Hirota is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.