June 7, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 943 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 956 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rodrigo Damm receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 102 | 76 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 199 | 162 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 935 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Mizuto Hirota controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (113 vs 77 total strikes), significant strike advantage (102 vs 76). However, since Mizuto Hirota lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rodrigo Damm's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 884 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Rodrigo Damm edged out Mizuto Hirota on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:44 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 960 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Rodrigo Damm demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rodrigo Damm capitalized on this activity level, while Mizuto Hirota's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 960 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Rodrigo Damm started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mizuto Hirota is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mizuto Hirota | Rodrigo Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.