Mizuto Hirota vs Ross Pearson

February 9, 2018

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

949
(-23)
Mizuto Hirota
Winner: Ross Pearson
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mizuto Hirota-23
Ross Pearson+24
1017
(+24)
Ross Pearson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mizuto Hirota: -39Ross Pearson: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricMizuto HirotaRoss Pearson
Total UFC Fights624
Experience Gap-1818
Experience ELO957953
ELO Change-39+39
💡

What Happened

Ross Pearson's 18-fight experience advantage (24 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ross Pearson for the expected result. Had Mizuto Hirota pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mizuto Hirota: -20Ross Pearson: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMizuto HirotaRoss Pearson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9471 004
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mizuto Hirota: -32Ross Pearson: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricMizuto HirotaRoss Pearson
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9501 097
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Ross Pearson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mizuto Hirota: -23Ross Pearson: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricMizuto HirotaRoss Pearson
Significant Strikes Landed7758
Significant Strikes Attempted213176
Total Strikes Landed7759
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO942949
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Mizuto Hirota controlled the striking through superior volume (77 vs 59 total strikes), significant strike advantage (77 vs 58). However, since Mizuto Hirota lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Ross Pearson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mizuto Hirota: -26Ross Pearson: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricMizuto HirotaRoss Pearson
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:060:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO934910
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mizuto Hirota: -10Ross Pearson: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricMizuto HirotaRoss Pearson
Days Since Last Fight246246
Activity ELO9601 187
ELO Change-10+12
💡

What Happened

Ross Pearson demonstrated standard activity with 246 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ross Pearson capitalized on this activity level, while Mizuto Hirota's 246-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mizuto Hirota: -19Ross Pearson: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMizuto HirotaRoss Pearson
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9521 031
ELO Change-19+20
💡

What Happened

Ross Pearson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mizuto Hirota is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mizuto Hirota: -20Ross Pearson: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMizuto HirotaRoss Pearson
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9471 003
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.