January 24, 2026
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 130 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Nikita Krylov's 9-fight experience advantage (21 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nikita Krylov for the expected result. Had Modestas Bukauskas pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:57 | 4:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 282 | 1 490 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +55 |
Nikita Krylov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 72 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 108 | 137 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 94 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 041 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Nikita Krylov dominated the striking exchanges with 94 vs 43 total strikes, 72 vs 40 significant strikes, 52.6% vs 37.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Nikita Krylov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:56 | 2:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 107 | 1 279 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Nikita Krylov landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 179 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Nikita Krylov demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nikita Krylov capitalized on this activity level, while Modestas Bukauskas's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 078 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Nikita Krylov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Modestas Bukauskas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.