February 10, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 992 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -43 |
Modestas Bukauskas overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tyson Pedro.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 085 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Modestas Bukauskas earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 109 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 931 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Tyson Pedro controlled the striking through superior accuracy (55.6% vs 40.4%). However, since Tyson Pedro lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Modestas Bukauskas's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:57 | 3:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 975 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Modestas Bukauskas did not secure a significant ground advantage against Tyson Pedro on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:57 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 526 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 999 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -29 |
Modestas Bukauskas demonstrated extended layoff with 526 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Modestas Bukauskas capitalized on this activity level, while Tyson Pedro's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 991 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -26 |
Modestas Bukauskas started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tyson Pedro is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Tyson Pedro |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

