November 3, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 001 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +32 |
Vitor Petrino overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Modestas Bukauskas.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 988 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:03 | 1:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 074 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +89 |
Vitor Petrino gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 888 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Vitor Petrino controlled the striking exchanges with 30.8% vs 47.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Vitor Petrino capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 960 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Vitor Petrino landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +38 |
Vitor Petrino demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Vitor Petrino capitalized on this activity level, while Modestas Bukauskas's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 998 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Vitor Petrino extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Modestas Bukauskas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Modestas Bukauskas | Vitor Petrino |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 988 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.