October 20, 2023
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mohammad Yahya | Trevor Peek |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Trevor Peek's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Trevor Peek for the expected result. Had Mohammad Yahya pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mohammad Yahya | Trevor Peek |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mohammad Yahya | Trevor Peek |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 961 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Trevor Peek earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mohammad Yahya | Trevor Peek |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 61 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 97 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 83 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 973 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Trevor Peek controlled the striking exchanges with 83 vs 47 total strikes, 61 vs 43 significant strikes, 62.9% vs 46.7% accuracy. Trevor Peek capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mohammad Yahya | Trevor Peek |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:24 | 5:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 894 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -106 | +106 |
Trevor Peek dominated Mohammad Yahya on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 5:10 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mohammad Yahya | Trevor Peek |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +53 |
Trevor Peek demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Trevor Peek capitalized on this activity level, while Mohammad Yahya's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mohammad Yahya | Trevor Peek |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Trevor Peek started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mohammad Yahya is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mohammad Yahya | Trevor Peek |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

