July 19, 2024
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mohammed Usman | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 017 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +47 |
Thomas Petersen overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mohammed Usman.
| Metric | Mohammed Usman | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 011 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mohammed Usman | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 039 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Thomas Petersen earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mohammed Usman | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 63 | 76 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 185 | 138 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 98 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 048 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Thomas Petersen controlled the striking exchanges with 98 vs 63 total strikes, 76 vs 63 significant strikes, 55.1% vs 34.1% accuracy. Thomas Petersen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mohammed Usman | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 039 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -95 | +95 |
Thomas Petersen controlled Mohammed Usman on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:01 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mohammed Usman | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 031 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +45 |
Thomas Petersen demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thomas Petersen capitalized on this activity level, while Mohammed Usman's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mohammed Usman | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 021 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Thomas Petersen started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mohammed Usman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mohammed Usman | Thomas Petersen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 010 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.