Mohammed Usman vs Zac Pauga

August 5, 2022

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1041
(+41)
Mohammed Usman
Winner: Mohammed Usman
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 0:36

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mohammed Usman+41
Zac Pauga-35
965
(-35)
Zac Pauga

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mohammed Usman: +21Zac Pauga: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMohammed UsmanZac Pauga
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mohammed Usman: +21Zac Pauga: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMohammed UsmanZac Pauga
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mohammed Usman: +86Zac Pauga: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricMohammed UsmanZac Pauga
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish0:360:36
Win Type ELO1 086958
ELO Change+86-42
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What Happened

Mohammed Usman gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mohammed Usman: +84Zac Pauga: -84

Performance Statistics

MetricMohammed UsmanZac Pauga
Significant Strikes Landed1232
Significant Strikes Attempted4050
Total Strikes Landed1333
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 084916
ELO Change+84-84
💡

What Happened

Zac Pauga controlled the striking through superior volume (33 vs 13 total strikes), significant strike advantage (32 vs 12), superior accuracy (64.0% vs 30.0%). However, since Zac Pauga lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mohammed Usman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mohammed Usman: +53Zac Pauga: -53

Performance Statistics

MetricMohammed UsmanZac Pauga
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:020:00
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 053947
ELO Change+53-53
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mohammed Usman: +21Zac Pauga: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMohammed UsmanZac Pauga
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Mohammed Usman demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Mohammed Usman capitalized on this activity level, while Zac Pauga's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mohammed Usman: +23Zac Pauga: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMohammed UsmanZac Pauga
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Mohammed Usman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zac Pauga is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mohammed Usman: +21Zac Pauga: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMohammed UsmanZac Pauga
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.