March 22, 2025
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Morgan Charriere | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 011 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Nathaniel Wood's 8-fight experience advantage (12 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nathaniel Wood for the expected result. Had Morgan Charriere pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Morgan Charriere | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Morgan Charriere | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 125 | 1 255 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Nathaniel Wood earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Morgan Charriere | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 42 | 72 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 94 | 119 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 89 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 077 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Nathaniel Wood controlled the striking exchanges with 89 vs 69 total strikes, 72 vs 42 significant strikes, 60.5% vs 44.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Nathaniel Wood capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Morgan Charriere | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:24 | 1:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 046 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Nathaniel Wood landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Morgan Charriere | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 029 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +14 |
Nathaniel Wood demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nathaniel Wood capitalized on this activity level, while Morgan Charriere's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Morgan Charriere | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +19 |
Nathaniel Wood extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Morgan Charriere is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Morgan Charriere | Nathaniel Wood |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

