February 15, 2013
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Motonobu Tezuka | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 935 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Vaughan Lee's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vaughan Lee for the expected result. Had Motonobu Tezuka pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Motonobu Tezuka | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 957 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Motonobu Tezuka | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 949 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Vaughan Lee earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Motonobu Tezuka | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 164 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 885 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Vaughan Lee dominated the striking exchanges with 164 vs 17 total strikes, 20 vs 4 significant strikes, 41.7% vs 11.4% accuracy. Vaughan Lee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Motonobu Tezuka | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:51 | 1:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 929 | 949 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Vaughan Lee did not secure a significant ground advantage against Motonobu Tezuka on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:11 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Motonobu Tezuka | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 221 |
| Activity ELO | 961 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Vaughan Lee demonstrated standard activity with 221 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Vaughan Lee capitalized on this activity level, while Motonobu Tezuka's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Motonobu Tezuka | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 957 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Vaughan Lee started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Motonobu Tezuka is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Motonobu Tezuka | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 957 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.