Mounir Lazzez vs Warlley Alves

January 19, 2021

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1018
(-36)
Mounir Lazzez
Winner: Warlley Alves
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:35

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mounir Lazzez-36
Warlley Alves+40
1159
(+40)
Warlley Alves

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mounir Lazzez: -31Warlley Alves: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricMounir LazzezWarlley Alves
Total UFC Fights212
Experience Gap-1010
Experience ELO1 0621 131
ELO Change-31+31
💡

What Happened

Warlley Alves's 10-fight experience advantage (12 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Warlley Alves for the expected result. Had Mounir Lazzez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mounir Lazzez: -19Warlley Alves: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMounir LazzezWarlley Alves
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0061 073
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mounir Lazzez: -25Warlley Alves: +57

Performance Statistics

MetricMounir LazzezWarlley Alves
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:352:35
Win Type ELO1 0491 277
ELO Change-25+57
💡

What Happened

Warlley Alves earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:35, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mounir Lazzez: -116Warlley Alves: +116

Performance Statistics

MetricMounir LazzezWarlley Alves
Significant Strikes Landed217
Significant Strikes Attempted221
Total Strikes Landed224
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9421 249
ELO Change-116+116
💡

What Happened

Warlley Alves controlled the striking exchanges with 24 vs 2 total strikes, 17 vs 2 significant strikes, 81.0% vs 100.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Warlley Alves capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mounir Lazzez: -43Warlley Alves: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricMounir LazzezWarlley Alves
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:421:36
Ground Strikes Landed06
Ground ELO1 0561 247
ELO Change-43+43
💡

What Happened

Warlley Alves landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mounir Lazzez: -16Warlley Alves: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricMounir LazzezWarlley Alves
Days Since Last Fight190431
Activity ELO1 0131 121
ELO Change-16+15
💡

What Happened

Warlley Alves demonstrated extended layoff with 431 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Warlley Alves capitalized on this activity level, while Mounir Lazzez's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mounir Lazzez: -18Warlley Alves: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMounir LazzezWarlley Alves
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0101 099
ELO Change-18+20
💡

What Happened

Warlley Alves started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mounir Lazzez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mounir Lazzez: -19Warlley Alves: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMounir LazzezWarlley Alves
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0061 073
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.