June 16, 2023
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Nicolas Dalby |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 184 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Nicolas Dalby's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nicolas Dalby for the expected result. Had Muslim Salikhov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Nicolas Dalby |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 072 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Nicolas Dalby |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 258 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Nicolas Dalby earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Nicolas Dalby |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 86 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 88 | 140 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 104 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 202 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Nicolas Dalby controlled the striking exchanges with 104 vs 70 total strikes, 86 vs 57 significant strikes. Nicolas Dalby capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Nicolas Dalby |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:55 | 6:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 115 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | -99 | +99 |
Nicolas Dalby controlled Muslim Salikhov on the ground with 2 takedowns, 6:36 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Nicolas Dalby |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 208 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +57 |
Nicolas Dalby demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nicolas Dalby capitalized on this activity level, while Muslim Salikhov's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Nicolas Dalby |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 126 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +33 |
Nicolas Dalby extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Muslim Salikhov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Nicolas Dalby |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 072 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

