February 2, 2024
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 157 | 1 265 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Randy Brown's 7-fight experience advantage (17 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randy Brown for the expected result. Had Muslim Salikhov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 054 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:17 | 3:17 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 228 | 1 421 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +65 |
Randy Brown earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:17, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 132 | 1 355 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Randy Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 28.3% vs 45.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Randy Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 070 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 232 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 190 | 1 288 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Randy Brown demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Randy Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Muslim Salikhov's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 107 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Randy Brown extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Muslim Salikhov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Muslim Salikhov | Randy Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 054 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

