November 17, 2023
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Myktybek Orolbai | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 095 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
Myktybek Orolbai overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Uros Medic.
| Metric | Myktybek Orolbai | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Myktybek Orolbai | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:12 | 4:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 106 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -68 |
Myktybek Orolbai earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:12, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Uros Medic was submitted.
| Metric | Myktybek Orolbai | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 035 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Uros Medic controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (14 vs 8), superior accuracy (51.9% vs 40.0%). However, since Uros Medic lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Myktybek Orolbai's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Myktybek Orolbai | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:26 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 194 | 804 |
| ELO Change | +194 | -194 |
Myktybek Orolbai dominated Uros Medic on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 7:26 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Myktybek Orolbai | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 1 024 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Myktybek Orolbai demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Myktybek Orolbai capitalized on this activity level, while Uros Medic's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Myktybek Orolbai | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -24 |
Myktybek Orolbai started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Uros Medic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Myktybek Orolbai | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

