December 5, 2013
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nam Phan | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 964 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Nam Phan | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 955 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nam Phan | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 929 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Takeya Mizugaki earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Nam Phan | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 100 | 152 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 287 | 402 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 104 | 155 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 905 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Takeya Mizugaki dominated the striking exchanges with 155 vs 104 total strikes, 152 vs 100 significant strikes. Takeya Mizugaki capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nam Phan | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 826 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Takeya Mizugaki controlled Nam Phan on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:03 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nam Phan | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 363 | 101 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +36 |
Takeya Mizugaki demonstrated solid activity levels with 101 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Takeya Mizugaki capitalized on this activity level, while Nam Phan's 363-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nam Phan | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 964 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +21 |
Takeya Mizugaki extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nam Phan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nam Phan | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 955 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

