July 18, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Naoyuki Kotani | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 937 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Norman Parke's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Norman Parke for the expected result. Had Naoyuki Kotani pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Naoyuki Kotani | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 943 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Naoyuki Kotani | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:41 | 3:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 896 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +41 |
Norman Parke gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Naoyuki Kotani | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 16 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 814 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Norman Parke controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 16 total strikes, 34 vs 8 significant strikes, 41.0% vs 22.9% accuracy. Norman Parke capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Naoyuki Kotani | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:02 | 3:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 24 |
| Ground ELO | 842 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Norman Parke controlled Naoyuki Kotani on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:33 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Naoyuki Kotani | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 2 506 | 118 |
| Activity ELO | 945 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +33 |
Norman Parke demonstrated solid activity levels with 118 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Norman Parke capitalized on this activity level, while Naoyuki Kotani's 2506-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Naoyuki Kotani | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 944 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +16 |
Norman Parke started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Naoyuki Kotani is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Naoyuki Kotani | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 943 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.