Naoyuki Kotani vs Yan Cabral

October 24, 2014

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

884
(-24)
Naoyuki Kotani
Winner: Yan Cabral
Submission
Round 2 • 3:06

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Naoyuki Kotani-24
Yan Cabral+28
1044
(+28)
Yan Cabral

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Naoyuki Kotani: -22Yan Cabral: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricNaoyuki KotaniYan Cabral
Total UFC Fights43
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO9151 068
ELO Change-22+23
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Naoyuki Kotani: -18Yan Cabral: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricNaoyuki KotaniYan Cabral
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9251 016
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Naoyuki Kotani: -30Yan Cabral: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricNaoyuki KotaniYan Cabral
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:063:06
Win Type ELO8661 048
ELO Change-30+46
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What Happened

Yan Cabral earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:06, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Naoyuki Kotani was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Naoyuki Kotani: -17Yan Cabral: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricNaoyuki KotaniYan Cabral
Significant Strikes Landed511
Significant Strikes Attempted2624
Total Strikes Landed1324
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO7971 056
ELO Change-17+17
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What Happened

Yan Cabral slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 11 vs 5 significant strikes, 45.8% vs 19.2% accuracy. Yan Cabral capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Naoyuki Kotani: -55Yan Cabral: +55

Performance Statistics

MetricNaoyuki KotaniYan Cabral
Takedowns Landed12
Takedowns Attempted15
Ground Control Time1:104:20
Ground Strikes Landed27
Ground ELO7871 098
ELO Change-55+55
💡

What Happened

Yan Cabral dominated Naoyuki Kotani on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 4:20 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Naoyuki Kotani: -18Yan Cabral: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricNaoyuki KotaniYan Cabral
Days Since Last Fight98168
Activity ELO9271 030
ELO Change-18+31
💡

What Happened

Yan Cabral demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yan Cabral capitalized on this activity level, while Naoyuki Kotani's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Naoyuki Kotani: -18Yan Cabral: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricNaoyuki KotaniYan Cabral
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9261 019
ELO Change-18+19
💡

What Happened

Yan Cabral started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Naoyuki Kotani is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Naoyuki Kotani: -18Yan Cabral: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricNaoyuki KotaniYan Cabral
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9251 016
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.