Nasrat Haqparast vs Rafa Garcia

March 12, 2021

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1103
(+22)
Nasrat Haqparast
Winner: Nasrat Haqparast
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Nasrat Haqparast+22
Rafa Garcia-20
980
(-20)
Rafa Garcia

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Nasrat Haqparast: +25Rafa Garcia: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricNasrat HaqparastRafa Garcia
Total UFC Fights71
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 102975
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nasrat Haqparast for the expected result. Had Rafa Garcia pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Nasrat Haqparast: +19Rafa Garcia: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricNasrat HaqparastRafa Garcia
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 059981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Nasrat Haqparast: +24Rafa Garcia: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricNasrat HaqparastRafa Garcia
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 187976
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Nasrat Haqparast: +23Rafa Garcia: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricNasrat HaqparastRafa Garcia
Significant Strikes Landed9952
Significant Strikes Attempted217217
Total Strikes Landed9954
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 172977
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast controlled the striking exchanges with 99 vs 54 total strikes, 99 vs 52 significant strikes, 45.6% vs 24.0% accuracy. Nasrat Haqparast capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Nasrat Haqparast: +18Rafa Garcia: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricNasrat HaqparastRafa Garcia
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted23
Ground Control Time0:000:21
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 069982
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Nasrat Haqparast: +21Rafa Garcia: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricNasrat HaqparastRafa Garcia
Days Since Last Fight218N/A
Activity ELO1 096983
ELO Change+21-17
💡

What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nasrat Haqparast capitalized on this activity level, while Rafa Garcia's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Nasrat Haqparast: +21Rafa Garcia: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricNasrat HaqparastRafa Garcia
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 077982
ELO Change+21-18
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What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafa Garcia is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Nasrat Haqparast: +19Rafa Garcia: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricNasrat HaqparastRafa Garcia
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 059981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.