October 26, 2018
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nasrat Haqparast | Thibault Gouti |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 041 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -25 |
Nasrat Haqparast overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thibault Gouti.
| Metric | Nasrat Haqparast | Thibault Gouti |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nasrat Haqparast | Thibault Gouti |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 052 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Nasrat Haqparast earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Nasrat Haqparast | Thibault Gouti |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 124 | 78 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 256 | 284 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 148 | 95 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 103 | 837 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Nasrat Haqparast dominated the striking exchanges with 148 vs 95 total strikes, 124 vs 78 significant strikes, 48.4% vs 27.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Nasrat Haqparast capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nasrat Haqparast | Thibault Gouti |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:55 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 25 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 013 | 826 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Nasrat Haqparast controlled Thibault Gouti on the ground with 2:55 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nasrat Haqparast | Thibault Gouti |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 97 | 251 |
| Activity ELO | 1 049 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -18 |
Nasrat Haqparast demonstrated solid activity levels with 97 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nasrat Haqparast capitalized on this activity level, while Thibault Gouti's 251-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nasrat Haqparast | Thibault Gouti |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 024 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Nasrat Haqparast extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thibault Gouti is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nasrat Haqparast | Thibault Gouti |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

