January 13, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nassourdine Imavov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 116 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Sean Strickland's 12-fight experience advantage (18 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sean Strickland for the expected result. Had Nassourdine Imavov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Nassourdine Imavov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 048 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nassourdine Imavov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 266 | 1 407 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Sean Strickland earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Nassourdine Imavov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 123 | 182 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 269 | 405 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 131 | 194 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 206 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Sean Strickland dominated the striking exchanges with 194 vs 131 total strikes, 182 vs 123 significant strikes. Sean Strickland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nassourdine Imavov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:12 | 4:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 184 | 1 332 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Sean Strickland edged out Nassourdine Imavov on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:12 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nassourdine Imavov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 28 |
| Activity ELO | 1 128 | 1 411 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +70 |
Sean Strickland demonstrated exceptional activity with 28 days since his last fight, earning a high activity bonus for the rapid turnaround. As the winner, Sean Strickland capitalized on this activity level, while Nassourdine Imavov's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nassourdine Imavov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +16 |
Sean Strickland started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nassourdine Imavov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nassourdine Imavov | Sean Strickland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 048 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.