November 18, 2022
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 101 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:27 | 1:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 120 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -36 |
Natalia Silva gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 72 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 148 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -92 |
Natalia Silva controlled the striking exchanges with 62 vs 25 total strikes, 45 vs 18 significant strikes, 62.5% vs 38.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Natalia Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:13 | 4:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 104 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Natalia Silva landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 056 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -20 |
Natalia Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Natalia Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Tereza Bleda's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Natalia Silva extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tereza Bleda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.