May 19, 2023
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Victoria Leonardo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 121 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -19 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Victoria Leonardo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Victoria Leonardo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:58 | 2:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 179 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -26 |
Natalia Silva earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:58, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Victoria Leonardo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 45 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 194 | 864 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Natalia Silva controlled the striking exchanges with 20 vs 7 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Natalia Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Victoria Leonardo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 119 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Victoria Leonardo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 301 |
| Activity ELO | 1 077 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Natalia Silva demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Natalia Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Victoria Leonardo's 301-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Victoria Leonardo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 070 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -17 |
Natalia Silva extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Victoria Leonardo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Natalia Silva | Victoria Leonardo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 059 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.