December 9, 2008
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nate Loughran | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 000 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Nate Loughran | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nate Loughran | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 031 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +78 |
Tim Credeur gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Nate Loughran | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 52 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 131 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 60 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 968 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Tim Credeur controlled the striking exchanges with 60 vs 28 total strikes, 52 vs 25 significant strikes. Tim Credeur capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nate Loughran | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:32 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 978 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Tim Credeur controlled Nate Loughran on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:32 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nate Loughran | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 145 | 145 |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Tim Credeur demonstrated solid activity levels with 145 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tim Credeur capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Loughran's 145-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nate Loughran | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Tim Credeur extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Loughran is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nate Loughran | Tim Credeur |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

