November 4, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nate Maness | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Nate Maness | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nate Maness | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:11 | 2:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 095 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +104 |
Tagir Ulanbekov earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:11, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Nate Maness | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 078 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Nate Maness lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Tagir Ulanbekov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Nate Maness | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 021 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -90 | +90 |
Tagir Ulanbekov controlled Nate Maness on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:34 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Nate Maness | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 245 |
| Activity ELO | 1 040 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +30 |
Tagir Ulanbekov demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tagir Ulanbekov capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Maness's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nate Maness | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Tagir Ulanbekov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Maness is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nate Maness | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.