June 24, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nate Maness | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 068 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Nate Maness | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nate Maness | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 154 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Umar Nurmagomedov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Nate Maness | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 74 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 100 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 128 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 106 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | -86 | +86 |
Umar Nurmagomedov dominated the striking exchanges with 128 vs 46 total strikes, 74 vs 2 significant strikes, 74.0% vs 10.0% accuracy. Umar Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nate Maness | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 10:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 57 |
| Ground ELO | 1 111 | 1 318 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Umar Nurmagomedov dominated Nate Maness on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 10:49 of control time, 57 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nate Maness | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 064 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +59 |
Umar Nurmagomedov demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Umar Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Maness's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nate Maness | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 052 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +29 |
Umar Nurmagomedov extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Maness is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nate Maness | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.