Nate Marquardt vs Rousimar Palhares

September 14, 2010

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1252
(+30)
Nate Marquardt
Winner: Nate Marquardt
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 3:28

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Nate Marquardt+30
Rousimar Palhares-25
1102
(-25)
Rousimar Palhares

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +28Rousimar Palhares: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtRousimar Palhares
Total UFC Fights126
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 1971 106
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt's 6-fight experience advantage (12 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nate Marquardt for the expected result. Had Rousimar Palhares pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +19Rousimar Palhares: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtRousimar Palhares
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1161 046
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +49Rousimar Palhares: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtRousimar Palhares
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:283:28
Win Type ELO1 4751 233
ELO Change+49-23
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What Happened

Nate Marquardt earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:28, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +40Rousimar Palhares: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtRousimar Palhares
Significant Strikes Landed131
Significant Strikes Attempted356
Total Strikes Landed181
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 4271 053
ELO Change+40-40
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt edged the striking exchanges with 13 vs 1 significant strikes, 37.1% vs 16.7% accuracy. Nate Marquardt capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +42Rousimar Palhares: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtRousimar Palhares
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:170:27
Ground Strikes Landed90
Ground ELO1 3071 155
ELO Change+42-42
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt controlled Rousimar Palhares on the ground with 0:17 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +20Rousimar Palhares: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtRousimar Palhares
Days Since Last Fight221172
Activity ELO1 2331 118
ELO Change+20-16
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt demonstrated standard activity with 221 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nate Marquardt capitalized on this activity level, while Rousimar Palhares's 172-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +20Rousimar Palhares: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtRousimar Palhares
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1451 060
ELO Change+20-18
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What Happened

Nate Marquardt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rousimar Palhares is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +19Rousimar Palhares: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtRousimar Palhares
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1131 043
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.