January 27, 2017
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 23 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 074 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +58 |
Sam Alvey overcame a 13-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Nate Marquardt.
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 281 | 1 325 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Sam Alvey earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 84 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 145 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Sam Alvey edged the striking exchanges with 36 vs 28 significant strikes. Sam Alvey capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:52 | 2:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 152 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Sam Alvey controlled Nate Marquardt on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:01 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 182 | 1 336 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +47 |
Sam Alvey demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Sam Alvey capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Marquardt's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 073 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +30 |
Sam Alvey extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Marquardt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Sam Alvey |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.