Nate Marquardt vs Tamdan McCrory

September 30, 2016

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1153
(+37)
Nate Marquardt
Winner: Nate Marquardt
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 4:44

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Nate Marquardt+37
Tamdan McCrory-32
1006
(-32)
Tamdan McCrory

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +26Tamdan McCrory: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtTamdan McCrory
Total UFC Fights229
Experience Gap13-13
Experience ELO1 105997
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt's 13-fight experience advantage (22 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nate Marquardt for the expected result. Had Tamdan McCrory pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +19Tamdan McCrory: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtTamdan McCrory
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 059988
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +56Tamdan McCrory: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtTamdan McCrory
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:444:44
Win Type ELO1 3291 120
ELO Change+56-27
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +84Tamdan McCrory: -84

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtTamdan McCrory
Significant Strikes Landed2416
Significant Strikes Attempted3952
Total Strikes Landed4819
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 167938
ELO Change+84-84
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt controlled the striking exchanges with 48 vs 19 total strikes, 24 vs 16 significant strikes, 61.5% vs 30.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Nate Marquardt capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +50Tamdan McCrory: -50

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtTamdan McCrory
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time5:010:06
Ground Strikes Landed40
Ground ELO1 214993
ELO Change+50-50
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +27Tamdan McCrory: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtTamdan McCrory
Days Since Last Fight140105
Activity ELO1 1981 028
ELO Change+27-14
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nate Marquardt capitalized on this activity level, while Tamdan McCrory's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +19Tamdan McCrory: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtTamdan McCrory
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 094999
ELO Change+19-17
💡

What Happened

Nate Marquardt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tamdan McCrory is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Nate Marquardt: +19Tamdan McCrory: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricNate MarquardtTamdan McCrory
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 058988
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.