June 2, 2017
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 24 | 25 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 053 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (24 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 261 | 1 501 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Vitor Belfort earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 113 | 78 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 133 | 1 315 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Nate Marquardt controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (68 vs 38 total strikes), significant strike advantage (57 vs 37). However, since Nate Marquardt lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Vitor Belfort's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 131 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Vitor Belfort did not secure a significant ground advantage against Nate Marquardt on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 170 | 1 374 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +37 |
Vitor Belfort demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Vitor Belfort capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Marquardt's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 057 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +17 |
Vitor Belfort started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Marquardt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nate Marquardt | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.