September 18, 2007
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Pete Sell |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 097 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -15 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Pete Sell |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 065 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Pete Sell |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:44 | 0:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 265 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -14 |
Nate Quarry gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Pete Sell |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 64 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 129 | 114 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 75 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 216 | 777 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Nate Quarry controlled the striking exchanges with 64 vs 53 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Nate Quarry capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Pete Sell |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:23 | 2:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 114 | 867 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Nate Quarry landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Pete Sell |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 669 | 165 |
| Activity ELO | 1 177 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -10 |
Nate Quarry demonstrated extended layoff with 669 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Nate Quarry capitalized on this activity level, while Pete Sell's 165-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Pete Sell |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 077 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -15 |
Nate Quarry started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pete Sell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Nate Quarry | Pete Sell |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.